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Lesson

Before increasing scope

Model demand, separate the causal response, and optimise within supported limits.

1 min readApplied extensionUpdated
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StageEvidence required to progress
Learner prototypeReproducible synthetic results; honest forward splits; zero/stockout handling; correct profit arithmetic; unsupported-action fallback
Internal shadow recommendationsReal posted-price/exposure/cost reconciliation; policy and support checks; no price application; operator review of failures
Small approved experimentIdentification plan; complete assignment and applied-price logs; adequate independent units; prespecified guardrails and matured rewards
Limited productionExperiment supports the chosen business objective; interval calibration and failure paths pass; rollback and application revalidation exercised
Broader or adaptive policyNew markets/products have support; longer-term/category effects assessed; exploration budget and delayed-feedback handling are operational

You are ready to explain the project when you can answer: what evidence identifies the price effect, which candidate prices are supported, why the selected price improves the stated objective, and what the service does when any of those conditions fails.


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